2008.06.03 Tuesday
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June 2, 2008 Barack Obama took another step to clinching the Democratic Presidential nod on the weekend, with the party's rules committee deciding to seat delegates from Florida and Michigan but to give them only half a vote. Now we'll see how Hillary Clinton decides to use her remaining leverage, and whether Mr. Obama feels obliged to put her on the ticket. In any realm outside of politics, this flap would be preposterous. The Democratic Party set the rules for its primaries, barring delegates from Florida and Michigan for advancing their primary dates. The candidates agreed to abide by those rules. Yet when the contest began to look closer than Mrs. Clinton ever thought possible, her campaign decided that those rules were no longer valid. It kept her name on the Michigan ballot, while Mr. Obama and other candidates took theirs off. Then after both candidates barely campaigned in Florida, she demanded that its results be counted. Like Al Gore in 2000, this is changing the rules in the middle of the game. Mrs. Clinton's chief political enforcer, Harold Ickes, helped write the original primary rules. Yet this weekend he was crying foul because Mrs. Clinton won't be allowed to count all of the delegates she supposedly won in Michigan while running against "uncommitted." Americans are once again getting an education in Clintonian political mores. And it was hilarious to watch party chief Howard Dean on Saturday invoke the "stolen" election of 2000 without a hint of irony about what the Clintons are up to this time. To prevent this nomination theft, Democrats decided to count only every half vote. This means Mr. Obama needs to win a few more superdelegates to gain a majority, and it isn't sitting well with the Clinton camp. Senator Clinton is now saber-rattling about challenging the Michigan ruling at the Denver convention. Her feminist supporters are also suggesting that their heroine is the victim of "sexism." Meanwhile, if the superdelegates do give the nomination to Mrs. Clinton, many of Mr. Obama's supporters will cry "racism." The identity politics that Democrats love to use against Republicans has now come back to haunt them. There is little chance, based on what we know now, that superdelegates will overturn Mr. Obama's solid lead in the pledged delegates. These Democratic pros aren't about to give black voters an excuse to stay home in November. So that leaves Mrs. Clinton with some decisions to make. Does she stay in the race after her big win yesterday in Puerto Rico and the last primaries on Tuesday, hoping that some new scandal makes Mr. Obama look unelectable? And does she use her leverage to try to become Mr. Obama's vice presidential nominee? The latter looks to be her strategy, judging from comments by her husband and others. The Clintons desperately want to regain executive power, and Mrs. Clinton will argue that she can help Mr. Obama unite the party in November. We'd guess she'd also drive a hard bargain, arguing for a role like Dick Cheney's in the current Administration. Since she was already "co-President" in her husband's Administration, she won't want to settle for a Spiro Agnew-style second fiddle role. As for Mr. Obama, he'll have to decide if the potential campaign benefits of putting Mrs. Clinton on the ticket are worth the headaches of having to govern with both Clintons at his side. Anyone who thinks Bill won't be a kibitzer as second spouse doesn't know the man. Her presence on the ticket might well mollify many Hillary supporters, but it would also take some of the aura off Mr. Obama's "change" message. Democrats put themselves in this predicament with their penchant for making rules they don't intend to keep. How they decide to escape this mess in the coming weeks will tell voters a lot about how they'd govern. |